Greece GDP 2025: A Strong Growth Outlook
“Greece’s GDP 2025 is projected to show steady growth, supported by investment, private consumption, and reforms. Despite inflation and a high deficit, fiscal discipline and EU support drive expansion.”
📈 Projected Greece GDP 2025 Growth
Forecasts for Greece’s real GDP growth in 2025 vary slightly among institutions:
International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects a growth rate of 2.1%, driven by investment and private consumption, with a primary surplus of 2.3% of GDP contributing to debt reduction. IMF+1Reuters+1
European Commission anticipates a growth rate of 2.3%, supported by export gains and structural reforms enhancing cost competitiveness.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts a growth rate of 2.2%, underpinned by rising disposable income and strong consumption patterns.
💰 Key Economic Drivers
Investment: Continued inflows from the EU’s Recovery and Resilience Fund (RRF) are pivotal, with Greece set to receive €36 billion in grants and loans up to 2027, facilitating infrastructure and green transition projects.
Private Consumption: Strengthened by wage growth, employment gains, and minimum wage increases, fostering domestic demand.
Exports: Enhanced by structural reforms and improved cost competitiveness, contributing positively to GDP growth.
📉 Inflation and Employment
Inflation: Projected to decline to 2.4% in 2025, continuing the downward trend from previous years.
Unemployment: Expected to remain relatively stable at 9.4%, indicating resilience in the labor market despite global economic uncertainties.
⚠️ Challenges Ahead Greece GDP 2025
Current Account Deficit: Forecasted to remain elevated at 6.5% of GDP in 2025, primarily due to high import content of investment and energy costs.
Medium-Term Growth: Anticipated to moderate to around 1.25% annually, influenced by demographic trends and slower productivity growth.
✅ Conclusion
Greece’s economic outlook for 2025 presents a cautiously optimistic scenario, with steady growth driven by investment, consumption, and export performance. While challenges such as the current account deficit and medium-term growth moderation persist, ongoing reforms and EU support provide a solid foundation for sustained economic development.
source: golden visa greece
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